| Region | Land | Fläche | akt. Wachstum 2024 | Einwohner | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | ||||
| Hubei | China (i) | 185,125 km² | -0.3 % |
57,752,000
|
58,006,000
|
57,832,000
|
56,861,000
|
54,262,000
|
49,728,000
|
44,076,000
|
Hubei ist eine zentralschinesische Provinz mit fast 58 Millionen Einwohner (Stand 2020) und mit 49,7 Mio. bis zum Jahr 2050 rund 14% kleiner. Der Rückgang resultiert zum einen wegen einer stark steigenden Sterberate gegenüber sinkenden Geburtenzahlen, zum anderen einer negativen Wanderungsbilanz; so verlassen zwischen 2020 und 2050 ca. 2 Millionen mehr Menschen Hubei als einwandern.
Urbane Bevölkerung über 30.000 Einwohner im Jahr 2020: 28.376.000 // Jahr 2050: 38.989.000 (+37,5%)
Ländliche Bevölkerung unter 30.000 Ew./Stadt im Jahr 2020: 28.316.000 // Jahr 2050: 10.739.000 (- 62%)
Hubei verfügt mit Wuhan über eine Megastadt welche zukünftig 2 bis 3 Mio. Zuwanderer von außerhalb der Provinz anziehen wird. Zugleich aber verlassen mehr Menschen Hubei als dort zuwandern - vor allem in die Hauptmetropolen Shanghai, Peking und Shenzhen-Guangzhou, aber auch in alle weiteren Provinzen Chinas, da Hubei zentral liegt und keinen migrationsbedingten Schwerpunkt innerhalb des Landes verfolgt.
Internationale Zuwanderung findet vor allem ab dem Jahr 2040 statt, wenn die großen globalen Migrationswellen aus Südasien sowie Afrika an Kraft gewinnen und zugleich aufgrund einer demographisch-ökonomischen Notwendigkeit China darauf angewiesen ist, - soweit es geht, ausländische Arbeitskräfte in seine stark alternden Gesellschaft zu integrieren. In Hubei wäre die Zahl (im Jahr 2050) bei 300.000 - von denen 150.000 allein nach Wuhan kommen könnten.
Dennoch bleiben internationale Zuwanderungen nach China nur im Ansatz ein Ausgleich auf den demographischen Wandel. Zwischen 2050 und 2060 sinkt allein in Hubei die Einwohnerzahl um 5,6 Mio. - da insgesamt China viel zu groß ist um (wie in Deutschland) durch Zuwanderung zu kompensieren oder gar zu expandieren.
| Staat (Code) | Fläche | akt. Wachstum 2024 | Einwohner | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||
| China (CN) | 9,572,419 km² | -0.15 % |
1,419,003,000
|
1,424,508,000
|
1,420,712,000
|
1,403,585,000
|
1,340,366,000
|
1,248,202,000
|
1,157,883,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Anlu (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 18 km² | 1.5 % |
213,000
|
226,000
|
***
|
241,000
|
253,000
|
244,000
|
225,000
|
| Badong (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 15 % |
30,000
|
43,000
|
***
|
55,000
|
60,000
|
56,000
|
50,000
|
| Baokang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 4.5 % |
27,000
|
32,000
|
***
|
37,000
|
45,000
|
42,000
|
38,000
|
| Changyang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 1 km² | 0.5 % |
33,000
|
35,000
|
***
|
35,000
|
32,000
|
29,000
|
26,000
|
| Chibi (Puqi) (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 17 km² | 0.8 % |
185,000
|
190,000
|
***
|
213,000
|
220,000
|
205,000
|
205,000
|
| Chongyang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 12 km² | 4 % |
144,000
|
165,000
|
***
|
191,000
|
202,000
|
195,000
|
181,000
|
| Dangyang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 15 km² | 2 % |
120,000
|
127,000
|
***
|
146,000
|
155,000
|
147,000
|
135,000
|
| Danjiangkou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 10 km² | 4.5 % |
128,000
|
145,000
|
***
|
180,000
|
200,000
|
210,000
|
195,000
|
| Dawu (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 10 km² | 1.8 % |
131,000
|
139,000
|
***
|
151,000
|
155,000
|
146,000
|
136,000
|
| Enshi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 40 km² | 5 % |
505,000
|
588,000
|
***
|
710,000
|
756,000
|
733,000
|
693,000
|
| Ezhou-Huanggang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 107 km² | 6 % |
770,000
|
855,000
|
906,000
|
1,315,000
|
1,377,000
|
1,353,000
|
1,300,000
|
| Fang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 17 km² | 0 % |
95,000
|
94,000
|
***
|
90,000
|
84,000
|
73,000
|
65,000
|
| Gong'an (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 0.5 % |
165,000
|
166,000
|
***
|
160,000
|
146,000
|
125,000
|
112,000
|
| Guangshui (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 2.5 % |
165,000
|
180,000
|
***
|
203,000
|
197,000
|
181,000
|
160,000
|
| Gucheng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 12 km² | 0 % |
98,000
|
97,000
|
***
|
94,000
|
86,000
|
77,000
|
69,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Hanchuan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 13 km² | 3 % |
234,000
|
257,000
|
***
|
305,000
|
325,000
|
307,000
|
282,000
|
| Hong'an (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 14 km² | 2 % |
145,000
|
156,000
|
***
|
163,000
|
156,000
|
142,000
|
125,000
|
| Hong'an (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 10 km² | 0.8 % |
107,000
|
111,000
|
***
|
113,000
|
105,000
|
96,000
|
86,000
|
| Honghu (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 16 km² | -0.8 % |
136,000
|
133,000
|
***
|
118,000
|
98,000
|
87,000
|
81,000
|
| Huangmei | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 17 km² | 2 % |
156,000
|
168,000
|
***
|
195,000
|
205,000
|
195,000
|
172,000
|
| Huangpi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 12 km² | 3.5 % |
188,000
|
210,000
|
***
|
254,000
|
280,000
|
295,000
|
280,000
|
| Huangshi-Daye (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 160 km² | 5.5 % |
821,000
|
929,000
|
980,000
|
1,315,000
|
2,010,000
|
2,189,000
|
2,069,000
|
| Huji (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 4 km² | 0.6 % |
30,000
|
30,000
|
***
|
28,000
|
25,000
|
23,000
|
21,000
|
| Janshi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 4 km² | 1.2 % |
30,000
|
31,000
|
***
|
33,000
|
30,000
|
27,000
|
24,000
|
| Jiangling (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 6 km² | 1.2 % |
48,000
|
50,000
|
***
|
55,000
|
49,000
|
42,000
|
36,000
|
| Jianli (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 15 km² | 1.2 % |
150,000
|
157,000
|
***
|
165,000
|
154,000
|
134,000
|
112,000
|
| Jiayu (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 0 % |
135,000
|
133,000
|
***
|
129,000
|
115,000
|
102,000
|
85,000
|
| Jingmen (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 53 km² | 3.5 % |
636,000
|
702,000
|
***
|
827,000
|
881,000
|
858,000
|
802,000
|
| Jingshan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 13 km² | 0.6 % |
146,000
|
150,000
|
***
|
158,000
|
163,000
|
157,000
|
148,000
|
| Jingzhou-Shashi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 125 km² | 5 % |
801,000
|
871,000
|
914,000
|
1,161,000
|
1,350,000
|
1,331,000
|
1,213,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Laifeng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 2.5 % |
55,000
|
59,000
|
***
|
63,000
|
61,000
|
55,000
|
48,000
|
| Laohekou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 17 km² | -0.5 % |
145,000
|
142,000
|
***
|
130,000
|
122,000
|
107,000
|
95,000
|
| Lichuan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 19 km² | 7 % |
228,000
|
275,000
|
***
|
371,000
|
413,000
|
438,000
|
423,000
|
| Luotian (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 3.3 % |
110,000
|
122,000
|
***
|
138,000
|
131,000
|
123,000
|
113,000
|
| Macheng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 22 km² | 0.65 % |
225,000
|
230,000
|
***
|
236,000
|
228,000
|
212,000
|
190,000
|
| Makou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 5 km² | 5 % |
44,000
|
51,000
|
***
|
80,000
|
120,000
|
135,000
|
130,000
|
| Nanzhang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 0.6 % |
91,000
|
96,000
|
***
|
101,000
|
96,000
|
89,000
|
81,000
|
| Qianjiang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 18 km² | 1 % |
185,000
|
191,000
|
***
|
208,000
|
200,000
|
183,000
|
164,000
|
| Qichun | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 23 km² | 0 % |
150,000
|
157,000
|
***
|
147,000
|
138,000
|
121,000
|
106,000
|
| Qijiawan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 2 km² | 8 % |
14,000
|
18,000
|
***
|
35,000
|
50,000
|
55,000
|
51,000
|
| Qizhou | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 6 km² | 0 % |
40,000
|
40,000
|
***
|
38,000
|
31,000
|
25,000
|
22,000
|
| Shayang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 10 km² | 0 % |
85,000
|
87,000
|
***
|
88,000
|
82,000
|
73,000
|
66,000
|
| Shishou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 0 % |
90,000
|
91,000
|
***
|
88,000
|
80,000
|
66,000
|
59,000
|
| Shiyan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 140 km² | 3.5 % |
993,000
|
1,130,000
|
1,169,000
|
1,375,000
|
1,351,000
|
1,270,000
|
1,122,000
|
| Songzi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 10 km² | 1.2 % |
195,000
|
208,000
|
***
|
240,000
|
245,000
|
233,000
|
212,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Suixian (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 7 % |
45,000
|
54,000
|
***
|
65,000
|
85,000
|
80,000
|
65,000
|
| Suizhou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 32 km² | 3.5 % |
480,000
|
529,000
|
***
|
638,000
|
690,000
|
665,000
|
612,000
|
| Tianmen (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 26 km² | 0.8 % |
468,000
|
485,000
|
***
|
488,000
|
465,000
|
435,000
|
392,000
|
| Tongshan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 2.5 % |
88,000
|
96,000
|
***
|
106,000
|
102,000
|
91,000
|
79,000
|
| Tongsheng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 15 km² | 0.8 % |
97,000
|
101,000
|
***
|
105,000
|
100,000
|
90,000
|
77,000
|
| Tuanfeng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 16 km² | 4 % |
128,000
|
143,000
|
***
|
173,000
|
180,000
|
170,000
|
158,000
|
| Wuhan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 706 km² | 4 % |
9,520,000
|
10,151,000
|
10,557,000
|
13,330,000
|
13,570,000
|
13,206,000
|
12,335,000
|
| Wushengguan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 7 km² | -0.8 % |
45,000
|
43,000
|
***
|
41,000
|
36,000
|
32,000
|
29,000
|
| Wuxue (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 24 km² | -0.4 % |
156,000
|
152,000
|
***
|
145,000
|
137,000
|
121,000
|
100,000
|
| Xianfeng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 5 km² | 3.5 % |
30,000
|
33,000
|
***
|
40,000
|
39,000
|
35,000
|
31,000
|
| Xiangyang/Xiangfan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 252 km² | 5 % |
1,533,000
|
1,733,000
|
1,819,000
|
2,452,000
|
2,865,000
|
2,830,000
|
2,718,000
|
| Xianning (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 68 km² | 2.2 % |
578,000
|
621,000
|
***
|
722,000
|
762,000
|
732,000
|
684,000
|
| Xiantao (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 52 km² | 0.8 % |
556,000
|
576,000
|
***
|
595,000
|
565,000
|
521,000
|
460,000
|
| Xiaochang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 13 km² | 0.5 % |
104,000
|
108,000
|
***
|
110,000
|
103,000
|
94,000
|
83,000
|
| Xiaochi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 3.5 % |
60,000
|
66,000
|
***
|
95,000
|
103,000
|
95,000
|
82,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Xiaogan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 51 km² | 2.2 % |
631,000
|
680,000
|
***
|
757,000
|
818,000
|
805,000
|
753,000
|
| Xiaoting (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 13 km² | 5 % |
35,000
|
40,000
|
***
|
50,000
|
85,000
|
80,000
|
65,000
|
| Xinzhou (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | -0.5 % |
108,000
|
110,000
|
***
|
100,000
|
89,000
|
82,000
|
74,000
|
| Xishui (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 19 km² | 3 % |
161,000
|
175,000
|
***
|
210,000
|
198,000
|
185,000
|
164,000
|
| Xuan'en (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 4 % |
28,000
|
31,000
|
***
|
38,000
|
38,000
|
33,000
|
29,000
|
| Yangxin (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 15 km² | 3.5 % |
127,000
|
140,000
|
***
|
172,000
|
166,000
|
148,000
|
130,000
|
| Yichang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 118 km² | 4.3 % |
1,833,000
|
2,084,000
|
2,173,000
|
2,805,000
|
3,116,000
|
3,155,000
|
3,081,000
|
| Yicheng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 14 km² | 0.5 % |
115,000
|
118,000
|
***
|
122,000
|
117,000
|
107,000
|
94,000
|
| Yidu (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 12 km² | 1 % |
133,000
|
137,000
|
***
|
145,000
|
140,000
|
127,000
|
113,000
|
| Yingcheng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 18 km² | 0.5 % |
108,000
|
111,000
|
***
|
115,000
|
107,000
|
98,000
|
87,000
|
| Yingshan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 8 km² | 1.5 % |
58,000
|
62,000
|
***
|
70,000
|
67,000
|
57,000
|
50,000
|
| Yunmeng (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 11 km² | 2.2 % |
129,000
|
139,000
|
***
|
165,000
|
185,000
|
178,000
|
168,000
|
| Yunxi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 4 km² | 6 % |
72,000
|
85,000
|
***
|
110,000
|
123,000
|
115,000
|
108,000
|
| Yunyang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 5 km² | 5 % |
100,000
|
124,000
|
***
|
165,000
|
190,000
|
185,000
|
175,000
|
| Yunyang Industrial-Area (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 20 % |
5,000
|
10,000
|
***
|
50,000
|
55,000
|
40,000
|
30,000
|
| Stadt (⇳) | Staat (⇳) | Region (⇳) | Fläche (⇳) | akt. Wachstum 2024 (⇳) | Einwohner | ||||||
| 2020 | 2023 | 2024 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |||||
| Yuyangguang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 4 km² | 10 % |
22,000
|
29,000
|
***
|
45,000
|
52,000
|
60,000
|
55,000
|
| Zaoshi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 0 % |
30,000
|
30,000
|
***
|
27,000
|
24,000
|
21,000
|
19,000
|
| Zaoyang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 27 km² | 1.5 % |
324,000
|
344,000
|
***
|
366,000
|
357,000
|
340,000
|
312,000
|
| Zhijiang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 9 km² | 0 % |
105,000
|
108,000
|
***
|
103,000
|
95,000
|
90,000
|
83,000
|
| Zhongxiang (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 30 km² | 0.8 % |
311,000
|
328,000
|
***
|
332,000
|
330,000
|
310,000
|
284,000
|
| Zhushan (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 6.5 % |
54,000
|
65,000
|
***
|
88,000
|
95,000
|
91,000
|
83,000
|
| Zhuxi (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 3 km² | 3.5 % |
31,000
|
34,000
|
***
|
41,000
|
46,000
|
45,000
|
40,000
|
| Zigui (i) | China (i) | Hubei (i) | 8 km² | 5 % |
100,000
|
115,000
|
***
|
145,000
|
150,000
|
140,000
|
128,000
|